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Treasury yields retreat as investors assess economic outlook

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on August 31, 2023 in New York City.
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

U.S. Treasury yields pulled back on Friday after hitting multiyear highs earlier this week as investors weighed the outlook for interest rates after this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by nearly 5 basis points to 4.434%. The 2-year Treasury was trading at 5.108% after dipping by 4 basis points. Both eased slightly from the fresh multiyear highs they hit on Thursday, when they reached levels last seen in 2007 and 2006, respectively.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point equals 0.01%.

Thursday's initial weekly jobless claims came in lower than expected at 201,000, which some traders understood as a sign that further interest rate hikes may be needed to cool the economy, including the labor market.

That comes after the Fed's latest policy meeting, which concluded Wednesday. The central bank said it would keep interest rates unchanged for now, but added that another rate hike is likely to come this year. The Fed also suggested that rates will stay higher for longer as it reduced the number of rate cuts it expects to make next year to two.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that inflationary pressures continue to concern policymakers, and while there are signs that inflation is easing, more progress is needed.

Meanwhile, fears about a government shutdown emerged on Thursday after House Republican leaders sent the chamber into recess. That prompted concerns that lawmakers will not pass a bill needed to fund the government.

Such a shutdown could not only undermine confidence in the ability of the U.S. government to remain operational, but also reduce the gross domestic product in the fourth quarter. The Fed's monetary policy may also be affected as a shutdown could limit what economic data is available to the central bank.

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